Kelaniya Journal of Management
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Item Impact of fiscal policy on economic growth: A comparison between Singapore and Sri Lanka(Faculty of Commerce and Management Studies, University of Kelaniya., 2019) Sriyalatha, M. A. K.; Torii, H.The purpose of this paper is to examine the long-term impacts of fiscal variables on economic growth in Singapore and Sri Lanka from 1972 to 2017. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)-ECM approach and some diagnostic and specification tests were employed to determine the impact of fiscal variables on economic growth on time series data. The results confirm that government expenditure, government revenue and investment expenditure positively and significantly affect in Singapore as well as Sri Lanka’s economic growth in the long run. This result is consistence with the theory of Keynesian views. Moreover, the Toda-Yamamoto’s Granger causality results reveal that there is bidirectional causality between inflation rate and economic growth in Singapore. Further, the results show that bidirectional causality relationship between investment expenditure and economic growth in Sri Lanka. Grounded on the premises that there are little or no studies on the impact of fiscal variables on Singapore and Sri Lankan economy with more recent data., this paper provides new evidence on the potential effect of fiscal variables on Singapore’s and Sri Lankan economic growth over the last four decades.Item Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth in Sri Lanka: A Time Series Analysis(University of Kelaniya, 2012) Kesavarajah, M.This paper examines the causality between public expenditure and economic growth in Sri Lanka using time series annual data over the period of 1977-2009. In particular, this study keeps a special focused on various selected components of public expenditure by applying a multivariate cointegration and Vector Error Correction Modeling (VECM) techniques. The empirical evidence suggests, in long run, public expenditure on education, agriculture, health and transport and communication have positive and statistically significant effects on economic growth while defense expenditure shows a negative but a statistically significant effect on economic growth. Granger causality analysis confirms that there is a unidirectional causality running from education expenditure to economic growth, defense expenditure to economic growth, and agriculture expenditure to economic growth, which supports the existence of Keynesian hypothesis in Sri Lanka. Analysis also indicates that existence of bidirectional causality between health expenditure and economic growth, transport and communication expenditure and economic growth. Therefore, the findings of this study provide an important implication to policy makers to improve the efficiency of public expenditure by reallocating among sectors in a growth context.