The Effect of Capital Structure on Firm Performance: Evidence from Listed Capital Goods Sector in Colombo Stock Exchange: Pre-Crisis vs. Economic Crisis

Abstract

Introduction: This study investigates the impact of capital structure on the financial performance of firms in the capital goods sector listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) in Sri Lanka. The analysis covers the period from 2014 to 2023, distinguishing between the pre-crisis (2014-2020) and economic crisis (2021-2023) periods to understand the role of the economic crisis as a dummy variable. Firm performance is measured using Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Capital Employed (ROCE), and Tobin’s Q, while the debt-to-equity ratio serves as the independent variable. Control variables include firm size, age, tangibility, and sales growth.

Methodology: Using a quantitative approach, secondary data from 22 listed firms were analyzed using panel data regression through descriptive analysis, correlation analysis, panel regression analysis, and t-tests. The study used a positivism approach. Random effect panel regression models were used to analyze the data.

Findings: The findings indicate a significant negative relationship between the debt-to-equity ratio and all three performance indicators (ROCE, ROA, and Tobin’s Q) and ROA, ROCE are significantly statistically impacted by the Economic Crisis and Tobin’s Q is not statistically impacted by the Economic Crisis.

Conclusion: The study concludes that higher debt ratios negatively affect firm performance, with this impact being more pronounced during an economic crisis. The findings highlight the need for firms to adopt timely capital structure decisions, especially in uncertain economic conditions.