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Subject: search.filters.subject.Economic growth

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    Banking Sector Development and Economic Growth in Sri Lanka: An Econometric Analysis
    (Department of Finance, University of Kelaniya., 2022) Wijesinghe, M. D. J. W.; Dulanjani, P.
    Purpose: This study aims to explore the role of the banking sector in elevating the economic growth of Sri Lanka by identifying the short-run and long-run relationship between banking sector development and economic growth in Sri Lanka. Design/Methodology/Approach: This study uses annual data for the period 1960 to 2019 from World Bank's Global Financial Development Database and World Development Indicators. Odedokun's model, which assumes the causation between financial development to economic growth, is employed using the bound test within the ARDL framework. Findings: The estimated long-term parameter of the banking industry development indicator was found to be positively affected economic growth by supporting supply-led growth model. The estimations of the Error Correction Model provide a broad picture of the short-term relationship, and the results are highly consistent with the results of the long-term model. Granger Causality test found that the banking sector development granger cause to the GDP indicating a unilateral relationship. Originality: This study differs from the existing studies, which focus on the neoclassical one-sector aggregate production model. Financial development is input along with other real sector variables to identify the short-run and long-run relationship with the help of a newly developed econometric approach.
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    Impact of fiscal policy on economic growth: A comparison between Singapore and Sri Lanka
    (Faculty of Commerce and Management Studies, University of Kelaniya., 2019) Sriyalatha, M. A. K.; Torii, H.
    The purpose of this paper is to examine the long-term impacts of fiscal variables on economic growth in Singapore and Sri Lanka from 1972 to 2017. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)-ECM approach and some diagnostic and specification tests were employed to determine the impact of fiscal variables on economic growth on time series data. The results confirm that government expenditure, government revenue and investment expenditure positively and significantly affect in Singapore as well as Sri Lanka’s economic growth in the long run. This result is consistence with the theory of Keynesian views. Moreover, the Toda-Yamamoto’s Granger causality results reveal that there is bidirectional causality between inflation rate and economic growth in Singapore. Further, the results show that bidirectional causality relationship between investment expenditure and economic growth in Sri Lanka. Grounded on the premises that there are little or no studies on the impact of fiscal variables on Singapore and Sri Lankan economy with more recent data., this paper provides new evidence on the potential effect of fiscal variables on Singapore’s and Sri Lankan economic growth over the last four decades.
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    Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth in Sri Lanka: A Time Series Analysis
    (University of Kelaniya, 2012) Kesavarajah, M.
    This paper examines the causality between public expenditure and economic growth in Sri Lanka using time series annual data over the period of 1977-2009. In particular, this study keeps a special focused on various selected components of public expenditure by applying a multivariate cointegration and Vector Error Correction Modeling (VECM) techniques. The empirical evidence suggests, in long run, public expenditure on education, agriculture, health and transport and communication have positive and statistically significant effects on economic growth while defense expenditure shows a negative but a statistically significant effect on economic growth. Granger causality analysis confirms that there is a unidirectional causality running from education expenditure to economic growth, defense expenditure to economic growth, and agriculture expenditure to economic growth, which supports the existence of Keynesian hypothesis in Sri Lanka. Analysis also indicates that existence of bidirectional causality between health expenditure and economic growth, transport and communication expenditure and economic growth. Therefore, the findings of this study provide an important implication to policy makers to improve the efficiency of public expenditure by reallocating among sectors in a growth context.