Conference Papers

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This collection contains abstracts of conference papers, presented at local and international conferences by the staff of the Faculty of Medicine

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    A diagnostic model for Leptospirosis for use in resource limited settings
    (Sri Lanka Medical Association, 2015) Rajapakse, S.; Weeratunga, P.N.; Rodrigo, C.; Sriharan, S.; Niloofa, M.J.R.; Fernando, N.; de Silva, H.J.; Karunanayake, L.; Premawansa, S.
    INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Leptospirosis is a zoonotic infection with significant morbidity and mortality. In this prospective study, we attempted to develop a model for diagnosis of leptospirosis. METHOD: Data was extracted from a prospective multicentre study. All patients with a suspected diagnosis of leptospirosis based on the WHO surveillance criteria were recruited. A derivation cohort and a validation cohort were selected. Positive MAT was used as the gold standard and significant associations in the derivation cohort were selected for construction of a multivariate regression model. Adjusted odds ratios were extracted for significant variables. ROC curves were generated. RESULTS: A total of 592 patients were included with 450 (180 confirmed leptospirosis) in the derivation cohort and 142 (52 confirmed leptospirosis) in the validation cohort. The variables in the final model were: history of exposure to possible source of leptospirosis (OR=2.878;95% Cl=1.527-5.425;p=0.001), serum creatinine>150u.mol/L (OR =2.742; 95% CN1.474-5.101; p=0.001), neutrophil differential percentage (on day 3 of illness) > 82.8% of total WBC count (OR 2.063; 95% Cl = 1.109 - 3.837; p =0.022), serum bilirubin > 27 U/L (OR = 1.767;95%CI 0.968 - 3.226; p=0.050) and platelet count (on day 3 of illness)< 85,000/mm3 (OR=2.350; 95%CI=1.281 -4.313;p=0.006). The Nagelkerke R2 was 0.654. ROC analysis demonstrated a diagnostic model score >14 to have a sensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 60% in the diagnosis of leptospirosis against MAT as the gold standard. CONCLUSION: This proposed diagnostic model for diagnosis of leptospirosis is of potential value to clinicians treating acute febrile illness in areas with limited diagnostic facilities.
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    Clinical and laboratory associations of severity in a Sri Lankan cohort of patients with serologically confirmed Leptospirosis - a prospective study
    (Sri Lanka Medical Association, 2015) Rajapakse, S.; Weeratunga, P.N.; Rodrigo, C.; Sriharan, S.; Niloofa, M.J.R.; Fernando, N.; de Silva, H.J.; Karunanayake, L.; Premawansa, S.; Handunnetti, S.
    INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Leptospirosis is a zoonotic infection of significant morbidity and mortality. This study elucidates the markers of severity in a cohort of Sri Lankan patients with serologically confirmed leptospirosis. METHOD: Prospectively recruited patients presenting to three healthcare institutions in the Western province of Sri Lanka with serological confirmation of leptospirosis with the microscopic agglutination test were included. Data regarding the socio-deruographic profile, clinical presentation, complications and biochemical parameters were recorded. Univariate associations and subsequent multivariate logistic regression models were constructed with severity as the dependent variable. RESULTS: A total of 232 patients were included. Majority were male (86.6%). Severe disease was noted in 68.5%. Significant clinical associations of severe disease included fever > 38.8°C on presentation (p=0.008), age>40 yrs; (p = 0.033), muscle tenderness (p=0.04) and tachycardia on admission (p=0.05). Laboratory associations of severe disease were highest white cell count > 12,350/mm3 (p<0.001) and < 7900/mm3 (p = 0.009), highest neutrophil percentage > 84% {p < 0.001). Hemoglobin > 11.2g/dL (p<0.001) and < 10.2 (p<0.001), packed cell volume > 33.8% (p <0.001) and <29.8% (p <0.001), lowest platelet count <63,500/mm3 (p = 0.01), highest ALT > 70 IU/L {p = 0.02) and hyponatremia with sodium <131mEq/L (p=0.004) On multivariate analysis, PCV < 29.8 (P = 0.011; adjusted OR =3.750; Cl = 1.394 - 10.423), ALT >70 P =0.044 adjusted OR =2.639; Cl =1.028-6.774 and hyponatremia< 131 (p=0.019 adjusted OR=6.413; Cl=1.353 -30.388) were found to be independent associations of severe disease. CONCLUSION: Severity associations were demonstrated with both clinical and laboratory parameters.