Clinical and laboratory associations of severity in a Sri Lankan cohort of patients with serologically confirmed leptospirosis: a prospective study

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Leptospirosis results in significant morbidity and mortality. This study elucidates markers of severity in a cohort of Sri Lankan patients. METHODS: Patients presenting to three healthcare institutions in the Western province of SriLanka with leptospirosis serological confirmed by the microscopic agglutination test (MAT) were included. Prospective data regarding demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters was extracted. Univariate associations and subsequent multivariate logistic regression models were constructed. RESULTS: The study included 232 patients, with 68.5% (159) demonstrating severe disease. Significant associations of severe disease at a significance level of p<0.05 were fever >38.8°C on presentation, age >40 years, muscle tenderness, tachycardia on admission, highest white cell count >12 350/mm(3) and <7900/mm(3), highest neutrophil percentage >84%, haemoglobin >11.2 g/dL and <10.2 g/dL, packed cell volume (PCV) >33.8% and <29.8%, lowest platelet count <63 500/mm(3), highest alanine transaminase (ALT) >70 IU/L and hyponatremia with sodium <131mEq/L. On multivariate analysis, PCV <29.8% (p=0.011; OR 3.750; CI: 1.394-10.423), ALT >70 IU/L (p=0.044; OR 2.639; CI: 1.028-6.774) and hyponatremia <131mEq/L (p=0.019; OR 6.413; CI: 1.353-30.388) were independent associations of severe disease. CONCLUSIONS: Severity associations were demonstrated with both clinical and laboratoryparameters. There is a need for novel biomarkers for prediction of severity in leptospirosis. © The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.